In the United States presidential election, which will take place on November 5, six states are considered crucial for dispute: Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, Nevada, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin. These states are known as “the big ones”.“Swing States” Or “pendulum states”, are the focus of campaigns because of divided electorates.
On May 13, an American newspaper published a survey the new York Times This shows that former President Donald Trump is ahead of Joe Biden in Nevada and Georgia, although the contest is tight. In the states of Arizona, Michigan, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin, both candidates are technically tied.
The survey, conducted by Siena College Request to the new York Times It is from Philadelphia Inquirer4,097 voters were interviewed by telephone in English and Spanish between April 28 and May 9, 2024.
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Pendulum States Fefinition
You “Swing States” The US President is the deciding factor in the election and is also called “Battleground States” Due to intense disputes over votes, the list of these states may vary with each election, and there are no fixed criteria to define them, although certain points are considered.
To identify a swing state, electoral history is analyzed and whether the state has elected Democrats and Republicans in recent elections. It is also looked at whether the victory was by a narrow margin and whether the polls show balanced support between the two parties.
In 2020, Joe Biden won six pendulum states by margins of less than three percentage points, securing 79 of the 270 delegates needed to win. Voting in the US is a constitutional right, but not an obligation.
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Electoral system of the United States
The President and Vice President of the United States are elected indirectly by the Electoral College, which is made up of 538 delegates, equal to the number of seats in Congress. After voting, the votes are counted at the state level, and in 48 states and Washington, D.C., the winner takes all the electoral votes. Maine and Nebraska use a proportional system.
A candidate must receive at least 270 delegate votes to win the presidential election. Typically, the winner is announced on election night in November, but the official Electoral College vote takes place in December.
The results of this year’s elections will be declared on January 6, 2025, and the inauguration will take place on January 20.
